China has leveraged Sudan’s ongoing civil conflict and economic vulnerability to forge significant resource-based agreements with the ruling military junta. While Western countries pulled back amid the instability, China has solidified control over key assets, particularly in the mineral sector, including a recently proposed copper deal valued at $300 million. Under this agreement, Sudan would receive a share of profits only after repaying substantial debts owed to China, estimated at over $5 billion.
The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), led by General Burhan and governing the eastern half of the country, face a mounting debt burden exceeding $56 billion. Despite the dire financial situation, China remains one of the few international actors willing to engage economically with the military government, negotiating deals that analysts describe as heavily skewed in Beijing’s favor. These arrangements come with public Chinese calls for peace but effectively deepen Sudan’s dependence on Chinese capital and influence.
China’s approach—including staged debt forgiveness followed by long-term extraction contracts—has raised concerns about Sudan’s sovereignty and future economic autonomy. This model benefits from the current regime’s weakness and the lack of competition for influence, allowing Beijing to secure terms unlikely to be accepted under civilian governance, which could seek to revise such agreements. Local groups in mineral-rich but impoverished eastern Sudan have already voiced opposition to further Chinese involvement, citing continued economic neglect and infrastructure failures in their region despite abundant resources.
China’s formal stance of neutrality offers it political cover against accusations of militarization, allowing it to expand its geopolitical footprint quietly. Meanwhile, Western policymakers appear to underestimate the strategic nature of Beijing’s investments, which intertwine diplomatic efforts with resource extraction, ensuring that Sudan’s military leadership remains indispensable to Chinese interests.

